US age-adjusted** death rate from 1900 through 2020.
The 1916-18 pandemic is very visible.
The 1957 pandemic: US deaths adjusted for population growth would have been roughly 200,000.
The 1968 pandemic: US deaths adjusted for population growth equates to roughly 165,000.
No economic shutdown, no school closures, life went on.
[** Age adjustment is done to compensate for changing demographics. An older population (think of Baby Boomers moving through the age curve) will naturally have more deaths than a prior year in which the population was younger. This masks true change in underlying risk.]
To paraphrase an innumeric meme, let’s explain it for the dumb ones over at Wool & Vine.
STUPID PEOPLE: don’t understand the difference between 2% and .02%. The first one is a made-up, bullshit number. The other is very close to the IFR for ALL who catch Wuhan flu under age 70. They differ by a factor of ONE HUNDRED. So the analogy is already dead. That is simple math.
SMART PEOPLE: know that jellybeans are a luxury and not a necessity. If someone offered me a jar with 17,000 jelly beans and only ONE was a fatal bean (which is more in line with my chances of dying from Wuhan flu), I would STILL refuse it, because that is an idiotic risk to take for the extremely small joy a jellybean brings me.
This is known as cost/benefit (or risk/reward) analysis…and it clearly escapes morons like Julie Landrum, Bruce Haywood and Karen Spivey-Cummings. It makes them say asinine things like “if it saves just ONE LIFE, we should do it…no matter what we give up in return”.
So the choice offered by this dummy is a false one. The REAL choice is not “do we want the tiny LUXURY of a jellybean in exchange for the small risk of death” but rather “do we want the huge benefit of living our normal lives free and unfettered in exchange for that same small risk”.
To put it accurately in meme form for dummies:
You are offered a choice. You can pick ONE bean from a jar of 17,000. If you survive this 17,000-1 risk, you can go about your life and enjoy it to the fullest completely unfettered. Travel, go to the movies, eat at your favorite restaurants, gather in crowded bars with pals, run your business, make a living, take your kids to the beach and generally live the kick-ass life you had for the last 50 years.
OR, you can be a pussy and pick no beans at all – thus ensuring you have a 100% chance of living (not really though, since 20 OTHER things could kill you, like cancer, strokes and heart attacks) instead of 99.98% chance. BUT if you choose the pussy route, you have to wear a mask, helmet, gloves and hazmat suit every time you leave the house. You must stay cooped in your house 22 hours a day. No traveling. No eating out. No going to the hospital for minor stuff like kidney stones either – that is NON-ESSENTIAL now. No fun of any kind…and dependent on government welfare since your job is destroyed.
Which one would you choose? Lunatics like Julie Cain Landrum and Bruce Haywood choose to climb back into the womb like a baby. Which is sad enough on its face….unfortunately, these idiots want to make that choice FOR YOU TOO!
THAT’S what selfish hypocrites do. Always.
Is Julie Landrum the liberal loon you trust with important life decisions? Or do you think you can handle those decisions best for yourself? I know my answer.
Just look at this nut job pictured above! Unbelievable. Lady, you need to meet up with Bruce “The Manatee” Haywood and Karen Spivey-Cummings and lock yourselves in a plastic bubble while gargling Lysol. It’s the only way to be sure.
Before 2020, if I forced my child to wear a mask every day because I was irrationally terrified of an illness that is 99.999% survivable by children, I would have been rightfully accused of child abuse in the form of Munchausen syndrome by proxy.
Bruce doesn’t care HOW many facts and statistics show he is being completely irrational: he’s keeping his teenaged daughter home this school year, and that’s that, by golly!
Somebody tell Bruce and KAREN KIDS ARE NOT AT RISK!!!!
I’m not sure what clown factory produced Bruce Haywood, but I commend them on their thoroughness. I used to feel sympathy for Bruce’s wife. Now I see it is the daughter who deserves all the pity. The Haywoods are like the Feegans from South Park: that family who wears life jackets 24/7 even when they are nowhere NEAR the water:
Now if Bruce wants to be an irrational wing nut and ruin his daughter’s life, that’s really no skin off my teeth. Go to it Bruce. Keep her home and let her stare at the walls turning her head to mush.
The problem is, that’s not all Bruce wants. He wants SPECIAL ACCOMMODATIONS to be made for his daughter! The problem is that WE TAXPAYERS are going to get shafted by all the extra costs of this “remote learning” and “personal protection” garbage Bruce insists on. You see, we all need to bend over backwards to accommodate Bruce and his army of fellow nitwits. Bruce doesn’t care if HIS silly incorrect notions cost US a fortune to implement – he doesn’t even pay taxes!! Which makes him a typical liberal: selfish AND hypocritical.
What an asshole. He’s like the guy who is always broke but when it’s time to order pizza for the group, he insists on putting anchovies on it – even though he is contributing nothing from his own wallet.
Perhaps Bruce isn’t worried about his daughter getting sick, but rather he is worried about his daughter bringing it home and killing HIM! That is maybe a rational concern, considering Bruce is morbidly obese. But that is a Bruce Haywood problem that HE created. It is not the fault of the rest of us taxpayers…or his daughter. Besides, that life jacket dirty pacifier mask you wear 24/7 will save you anyways, right Bruce Feegan?
These rabbits who are scared of their own shadows are going to cost the taxpayers a FORTUNE before this is all said and done. ALL FOR NOTHING. They already wrecked the economy. Not satisfied with that, they are now gunning to wreck the school system.
How did it happen that the burden is on me to prove I shouldn’t be placed on house arrest, lose my business, and be forced to wear a mask for a cold virus? It happened because of simpletons like Bruce Haywood.
Misti Talbert! For her subdued yet poignant “why can’t we all just get along” pleading video message on Facebook during her announcement that she has caught the lethal plague flu. I haven’t seen forced half-crying like that since she dedicated the Jack Calvert $1.5 Million Dollar Municipal Fishbowl back in December 2019.
The virus she now has is SO deadly in fact, that the people suffering from it regularly post on Facebook to tell you how they felt like they have been “hit by a train”. The horror!
Just to recap:
Misti claims she wore a mask AND social distanced and she thinks you should too…even though it didn’t help her one bit!
Besides wearing masks and socially distancing, she CLAIMS she “practices healthy habits”. I’m sorry, but I take issue with that, because it is simply not true. It’s clear you have NOT made healthy choices going back a while. I’ll just leave it at that. I don’t want to be blunt or cruel, but if we are going to have a RATIONAL and HONEST discussion about how much of a threat Wuhan Flu REALLY is, we need to be honest with ourselves. That includes all the unhealthy choices made by (and pre-existing conditions of) those stricken with Wuhan Flu.
MY hope here is that after our high-profile mayor and her daughter easily recover from this, people MIGHT use their heads and think “hey! This isn’t the lethal plague that the media and certain morons in town (*cough* Bruce Haywood *cough*) are making it out to be!”.
I know that is wishful thinking but let’s keep our fingers crossed. If this Wuhan Flu had happened in the world BEFORE Facebook and Twitter and other social media, the irrational fears generated by this would be about 100x less prevalent. The moral of Wuhan Flu in 2020 will be that social contagion via social networks is more dangerous than biological contagion
P.S. Misti, I would “send you prayers” like everyone else but there is no proof that actually works. Actually, quite the contrary. So I offer no prayers but I offer the firm mathematical knowledge that STATISTICALLY, you have nothing to worry about. You’re more likely to be killed in a car wreck next year.
We already know that this virus is no big deal to kids. The numbers are indisputable:
For dummies like Bruce: Wuhan Flu is the LIGHT BLUE!
So when I see hysterical parents afraid to send their nine-year-old to school in a few weeks, I’d like to slap them upside the head a few times. Your kid is more likely to choke on his lunch than be killed by this virus.THAT IS A FACT.
If you insist on being irrationally scared of nothing, then fine – keep junior home for the year. But NO special accommodations for him! None of this bullshit “remote learning” or any of that nonsense. You can keep him home, babysit him and let him turn into a moron. Which, let’s face it, had a good chance of happening anyway with you as a parent.
Furthermore: THIS THING PROBABLY ALREADY RAN THROUGH THE SCHOOLS LAST NOVEMBER!!! *** DETECTIVE WORK ALERT***:
FACT #2: I noticed an anomaly in OUR OWN LAMPASAS CITY GOVERNMENT MINUTES!!! I read ALL the minutes from City council AND the LEDC religiously from cover to cover. I also have a very good memory.
Here is what I found in the LEDC minutes for November 2019, January 2020 and February 2020 (there is never a December meeting – no minutes):
11/20/19 minutes – page 3: “enrollment is good but ATTENDANCE IS TERRIBLE – FLU AND STREP THROAT GOING AROUND“
The “flu” (likely Wuhan flu that wasn’t recognized yet) was SO BAD that they mentioned it in the LEDC minutes!! Nobody freaked out then, did they? No. It was only after the liberal morons got ahold of this that everyone became petrified.
Now, I know what you’d say to me if you were smart: “that’s probably mentioned in the minutes EVERY YEAR, dummy!”. Naturally, I considered that…and went back to check the exact same months in the LEDC minutes for 2017 and 2018. Guess what?
So – for the first SIX months I examined (Nov 2017 through Feb 2019), there was only ONE mention of the flu affecting attendance in Jan 2018. But for the three months from Nov 2019 through Feb 2020, there are THREE mentions and the word “TERRIBLE” is used.
It is my belief that the LEDC reporting on the school system unwittingly exposes that this virus was ALREADY running rampant late last year. THEREFORE, our children (and the teachers!!) were very likely already exposed.
Between March 16 and March 23, page views of online listings for homes in rural areas increased 115% compared to the same period in 2019, according to Redfin analyst Tim Ellis. Page views of homes in small towns were up 88%.
In 2016, residential construction in Lampasas spiked to 47 new homes from 21 in 2015. From 2012 to 2015, the city added 15.75 homes each year, on average, and from 2016 to 2019 it added an average of 40.25 annually. By May 31 this year, the city had added 17 new houses. If that pace continues through Dec. 31, the city would gain 41 new houses this calendar year. Property values have risen with new construction. From 2012 to 2015, the value of single family houses on lots approximately 2 acres and smaller increased an average of 2% annually. From 2016 to 2019, they grew 4.3% each year, on average.
Well. Sounds like people are flocking to Central Texas from EVERYWHERE…. which anyone with a brain knew was happening for YEARS now. It is CERTAINLY not the type of environment where the City should be handing out HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF TAX DOLLARSUBSIDIES to ‘encourage growth’, does it?
Yet that’s EXACTLY what the morons on City council did. Repeatedly.
Great job, City council! What will you do for your next trick? Maybe give a $200,000 subsidy to Wal-Mart? I hear they are really struggling over there!
There is a strong argument here that only reason we ever had a coronavirus epidemic at all was because governors in New York, New Jersey, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Illinois & Massachusetts panicked based on “expert” forecasts and SENT COVID PATIENTS BACK INTO NURSING HOMES!
A whole lotta Ds in those pics. D is for democrat…and dummy.
I have profiled Janet Yoder Kraeff-Crozier several times on these pages. She is a loony locust from Ohio (and later Austin) who has been doing her best to implement a costly and useless recycling program here in Lampasas.
THAT was bad enough. Oh how I long for those days.
NOW, naturally, she is in the “WEAR A MASK” camp, like most brain-dead liberals (*cough* Julie Landrum *cough*). Let’s take a look at her other beliefs….because I ALWAYS take scientific Wuhan Flu advice from a loon who thinks autistic kids are clairvoyant and who believes in numerology, astrology, psychics and bullshit crystal energy healing.
Oh, and who spells pivotal as “pivital”. Yes, she checks all the boxes. She is a typical poster child for the boot-licking, mask-loving libtard group.
Maybe because you are painfully gullible and stupid?
THESE are the types of people who are out there yammering about the hospitals being overrun and ICUs “at 90% capacity!”. They are brain dead. Don’t buy into their nonsense!
If you need two masks to feel “safe”, then you can wear both of them.
Also, a lot of pro-mask people like to ask “would you let a surgeon operate on you without a mask?” as if this is somehow a clever ‘proof’ that masks work. The answer is no, I would not let him operate on me without a mask.
Of course, I also don’t walk into HEB with gaping, open surgical wounds either.
